Market Outlook

The benefits of AI help stocks manage uncertainty

Key points. The first quarter results confirm continued double-digit profit growth, despite the energy shock that is fueling inflation fears and making the trajectory...

The American consumer still has gas in their tank

Key points. The widespread perception of a deeply unequal, K-shaped American economy overestimates the role of the wealthiest households. Broader data suggest that consumption...

Artificial intelligence: revolution is guaranteed, but not returns.

Key points. Every industrial revolution has sparked fears of mass unemployment, yet history shows that new technologies create more jobs than they destroy. AI...

Europe is heading towards interest rate hikes, slowing its growth

Key points. While the European economy was performing relatively well before the conflict in the Middle East, the energy shock will lead to higher...

The AI ​​cycle: valuations, profits, and bubble risks

Artificial intelligence (AI) remains a key theme in the market, but currently, the debate surrounding the AI ​​cycle has become more demanding. After an...

Lessons from historical shocks, ceasefires, and emerging opportunities

Key points. The two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran fits within our base-case scenario of a gradual easing of tensions in the...

Quantification of the economic impact of the conflict in the Middle East by region

Key points. In our baseline scenario, which assumes a limited rise in oil prices, the effects of the conflict should remain contained for all...

The energy shock highlights the disparities in Asia

Key points. China's large oil reserves, its capacity to produce alternative energy sources, and its diversified import channels make it more resilient than most...

US-Israel-Iran conflict: macroeconomic and investment scenarios

Key points. The conflict between the United States, Israel, and Iran is increasing risks to the global economy and financial markets. We are exploring...

Latest articles